Data analysis: The Thunder has a high probability of defeating the Pacers 4-2 to win the championship, opening a new era of team history

When the basketball bells ignited in June on the finals stage, the ultimate competition between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Indiana Pacers became a hot topic in the global basketball world. In-depth analysis of multi-dimensional data, the Thunder is very likely to win the finals series with a score of 4-2, winning the first championship in team history since relocating to Oklahoma City.

The dominance of the regular season laid the foundation for winning the championship

This season's regular season, the Thunder showed amazing dominance. They ended with an impressive record of 68 wins and 14 losses, with a winning rate of 82.9%, not only setting a new record in the team's history, but also creating a new peak in the league's 79-year history with a terrifying data of 12.6 points per game. When facing the Eastern Conference team, the Thunder played a 28-1 crushing performance, which undoubtedly provided them with strong psychological advantages and solid strength confidence to face the Pacers. Compared with the Pacers' regular season record, the Thunder's lead in record and victory-loss difference indicates that they are better at the overall strength level.

playoff data highlights the Thunder's advantages

entering the playoffs, and the Thunder's dominance has not diminished at all. In the Western Conference Finals, they easily eliminated the Minnesota Timberwolves with a big score of 4-1. Throughout the playoffs, the Thunders ranked first in the league in defensive efficiency, conceding only 106.3 points per 100 possessions, a data that reflects their strong defensive resilience. Although the Pacers ranked second in the league in the playoffs, averaging 117.3 points per game, the Thunder's offensive stability is equally excellent, with a 117-point average of only 0.3 points away from the Pacers, and the huge advantage on the defensive end makes the Thunder more competitive in the playoff showdown.

Core player data comparison: Thunder Ace Shine

team core Shea Gilgers - Alexander is undoubtedly the Thunder's biggest reliance on winning the championship. As the MVP of this season, he averaged 31.4 points and 8.2 assists in the playoffs, with a variety of scoring methods. Its true shooting percentage reached 65.4%, especially at critical moments (within 5 points in the last 5 minutes of the game), with an average of 5.2 points per game, the league was the best. Alexander averaged 39 points per game in two regular season games against the Pacers, showing a strong destructive power to the Pacers’ defense.

In contrast, the Pacers' core Tyres Halliburton, averaging 27 points and 12 assists this season, has an excellent passing vision and is the core organizer of the Pacers' offense. But when facing the Thunder's tough outside defense, his performance may be limited. Halliburton once scored only 4 points in a single game in the regular season with the Thunder. Advantages of the inside double towers: The Thunder protects the basket without solving

Inside, the Thunder's double towers composed of Homgren and Haltenstein are like a solid fortress. Homgren's basket protection efficiency is as high as 62.3%, ranking first in the league. He can suppress his opponent's basket shooting percentage to 12% below average. The best example is the successful defense against Jokic in the Western Conference Finals. As a pick-and-roll expert, Haltenstein has high quality cover and can provide stable support to Alexander. Although Pacers center Miles Turner has the dual skills of "three-point + block" and averages 16.9 points, 5.9 rebounds and 2.6 blocks per game in the regular season, there is still a gap compared with the Thunder's double towers in terms of overall basket protection ability and support stability for the team's offense.

Schedule and home court advantage: The Thunder's championship helps the

schedule, the Thunder have a clear home court advantage. The finals will play two home games first, and then go to the Pacers to play at home. If the series enters the sixth and seventh games, they will return to the Thunder home court. The Thunders performed extremely strongly at home this season, with a regular season home record of 42 wins and 4 losses, and a home winning rate of 91.7% in the playoffs. The "devil's home court" atmosphere created by enthusiastic home fans can not only greatly enhance the team's morale, but also bring huge psychological pressure to the opponent. Judging from historical data, teams with home court advantages have a higher probability of winning the championship in the finals, which undoubtedly adds important weight to the Thunder's road to winning the championship.

Comprehensive data prediction: The Thunder won the championship 4-2

Judging from the three-point shooting rate data, when the Thunder suppresses the opponent's three-point shooting rate below 32%, the probability of sweeping the opponent is as high as 83%; and if the Pacers' three-point shooting rate can reach more than 38%, the winning rate can reach 71%. However, the Thunder deliberately put 41% of their opponents in the regular season and accounted for 3-point shooting (third highest in the league), but they can suppress the opponent's overall three-point shooting rate to 33% through accurate data models. This defensive strategy is extremely effective in limiting the Pacers' three-point attack.

In terms of rotation depth, the Thunder have 9 players who average more than 15 minutes of playing time. The deep lineup depth allows them to maintain stable combat effectiveness in the game and effectively deal with players' physical fitness and injuries. Siakam of the Pacers averages 41 minutes per game, and there are certain hidden dangers in terms of physical fitness.

Comprehensive data from all aspects, although the basketball game is full of uncertainty and the Pacers have also shown tenacious resilience and ability at critical moments in the playoffs, the Thunder are likely to win the first championship in team history with a score of 4-2 with their dominance in the regular season, excellent offensive and defensive data in the playoffs, strong performance of core players, inside advantage, schedule and home assist, as well as better three-point defensive strategy and lineup rotation depth. When the Thunder wins the championship trophy, they will open a new glorious chapter in team history and leave a strong mark in the history of the NBA.