Sunday 005 Japanese > Nagasaki Navigation VS Omiya Squirrel

Nazaki Nagasaki vs Omiya Squirrel RB In-depth analysis

June 15, 2025 at 16:00, the 19th round of the Japanese ranks will be staged to upgrade the focus of the area - Nagasaki Nagasaki Nagas faces Omiya Squirrel RB at home. The two teams ranked 8th and 2nd in the standings, and the results of this game directly affect the upgrade play-off pattern. The following is based on the official website of Japan's vocational B, club announcements and authoritative sports media data, and analyzes it from multiple dimensions of lineup, tactics, player status and event impact.

📊 1. The recent state and points situation of the two teams

Nagasaki Navigation (7 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in 18 rounds, 27 points, ranking 8th)

Strong offense and weak defense: 29 goals in the league (the firepower on the offensive end is acceptable), but conceded 29 goals (the fifth last defensive efficiency in the league), with only 1 win in the last 5 home games and conceded 4 goals.

Multi-line combat: The Emperor's Cup narrowly defeated Tsukuba University 2-1 in the middle of the week, and won 4 games in the last 6 games, but the physical energy consumption was significant.

Upgrade pressure: 2 points behind the playoffs, you can jump to the top six when you win at home.

Omiya Squirrels RB (10 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in 18 rounds, ranking 2nd)

Defensive victory: Only 15 goals conceded in the league (the second lowest in the league in terms of conceding goals), and the away defense was particularly stable (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 5 away games, including 2-0 defeats the leader Chiba Ichihara).

Offensive efficiency: Scored 28 goals (second most in the league), but the efficiency has declined recently (not winning for 3 consecutive games, with a 1-1 draw in the last round of Ehime FC).

Champions League goal: Only 2 points away from Chiba Ichihara, you can reach the top by winning away games.

👥 2. Official lineup and key players status

Nagasaki Navigation Key players (based on the club's official website and league registration list)

Forward: Mattus Jesus (No. 9)

The top scorer in the team (9 goals), but the state has fluctuated recently, with only 1 goal in the last 3 rounds, and the finishing efficiency needs to be improved.

Midfielder: Akino Yoshiki (No. 8)

Offensive and Defensive Hub, averaging 1.8 key passes per game, but the game was suspended from the red in the last round, and the absence in this round affected the midfield control.

defender: Reiyo Osaki (No. 25)

has a 68% success rate in the competition, but the speed of turning is slow and is easily broken by the speed striker.

Omiya Squirrels RB key player (based on club announcements and J League data)

Midfielder: Sugida Mahiko (No. 15)

Tactical core: Average of 3.2 interceptions (top three in the league), but lack creativity (1.1 key passes per game), and the recent pass success rate has dropped to 79%.

Forward: Reyce (No. 7)

team assist king (4 times), good at breaking through the wing (1.8 times per game), but the cross conversion rate is only 9.2%.

Goalkeeper: Masahiro Okamoto (No. 1)

save success rate is 72%, but the timing error rate is high against high pressure shots (2 times scored by long shots in the last 3 games).

Injury List

Nagasaki Navigation:

Midfielder Akino Yoki (red card suspension)

Shunsuke Aoki (hamstring injury, come back on July 23), and Riku Yamada (menis injured, come back on July 16).

Omiya Squirrels RB:

Goalkeeper Shimura Kazuki (calf injury), defender Hamada Mizuki (injury not disclosed), and midfielder Arthur Silva (hamstring injury).

3. Tactical comparison and coach deployment

Nagasaki Navigation: High-pressing + crossing from the wing

coach Hirahiro Hashi (averages lead the team and scores 1.8 points per game) continues to use 4-2-3-1 formation:

Offense: Relying on Jesus' penalty area to grab points, Kido Katsuma made a cross from the wing wing (5.2 crosses per game);

Hidden danger: The high-level defense line is easily broken by counterattacks, and the home defeat against Sendai 1-4 was due to the slow recovery of the central defender.

Omiya Squirrels RB: Three central defenders stick to + quick conversion

coach Joseph (averages lead the team score 2.0 points) main goal 3-4-3:

Defence: compresses the space in the middle, limits Jesus' catch, and the wingback assists in defense covering the wing;

Counterattack: Reis' speed (31.2km/h) intersects with Vinicius to form a simple connection, but is inefficient (averages of 0.8 goals per game in the last 3 games).

📈 4. Historical confrontations and venue factors

The last 6 matches: Nagasaki Navigation won 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss, but both confrontations in 2023 won the win (2-0, 4-0).

Psychological Advantage: Omiya Squirrels are strong and strong away (beating Chiba Ichihara), but Nagasaki's home winning rate is 56% (6 home wins in the last 10).

Venue impact: Nagasaki's home court "Nazaki Prefectural Stadium" artificial turf is conducive to passing and control, but Omiya is highly adaptable away (away goal conceded 0.83 goals per game).

🔮 5. Event impact forecast

watershed of upgrade qualifications:

Nagasaki wins and can overtake the 6th place (upgrade the play-off area), if you lose, the gap will widen to 5 points;

Omiya will top the standings if you win, and will directly upgrade the quota.

Subsequent chain reaction:

Nazaki: If the home court is lost, the central defender and defensive midfielder need to be strengthened in the summer window;

Omiya: If the forward is not strong, the young forward may be used to replace the foreign aid forward.

💎 Comprehensive conclusion

Balance of victory and loss: Omiya has a stable defense (per-game conceded 0.83 goals per game) to restrain Nagasaki from being strong offensive and weak offensive (per-game conceded 1.61 goals per game), and the probability of the visiting team being unbeaten is higher (60%).