Sunday 003·Hi Obit [Toyama Victory VS Tokushima Uzumaki] "Hiang Xiaoyu"

Day B Preview: Toyama Victory VS Tokushima Uzumaki Score prediction Q group,

Toyama Victory 0-2 Tokushima Uzumaki Core analysis

1. Comparison of league situation and fighting intentions

Toyama Victory: 18th place (3rd from the bottom), 23 points (5 wins, 8 draws, 15 losses), 22 goals conceded 36 goals, and the relegation situation is serious

Tokushima Uzumaki: 4th place, 48 points (13 wins, 9 draws, 6 losses), 28 goals conceded 15 Goal, qualifying for the playoffs

Fighting intention assessment: Toyama urgently needs to grab points at home to get out of the relegation zone; Tokushima strives to consolidate his European seat away, both sides have strong fighting spirit, but the overall strength of the away team is superior

2. Home and away performance and status comparison Q group

vs. Toyama Victory (Home) Tokushima Vortex (Away) Advantages The record is 3 wins, 3 draws, 7 losses, 23.1% 5 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses, and 38.5% 0.73 goals per game at home, 19th in the league, 0.92 goals per game at home, 12th in the league, 1.33 goals per game at home, 11th in the league, 11th in the league, 1.08 goals per game at home, 7th in the league Yotoshima Uzumaki has been in a state of 0 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the last 7 games, 1-1 draw in the last round, Nagasaki has been 3 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses in the last round, and 1-2 losses in the last round, Sapporo Tokushima Uzumaki's home and away game characteristics, home attack power is seriously insufficient, and 3 consecutive home games have not scored in 3 consecutive home games. The defense is relatively stable, and only 7 goals in the last 6 away games have been lost. Tokushima Uzumaki

3. Historical confrontation and psychological advantages

The last 10 confrontations, Tokushima Uzumaki 7 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, and the winning rate is 70%

Latest confrontation (April 26, 2025): Tokushima Uzumaki 1-0 Victory

Key data: Tokushima Uzumaki's last 6 The second home game against Toyama has maintained a complete victory

Psychological assessment: Tokushima Uzumaki formed obvious psychological suppression against Toyama's victory, Toyama is still at a disadvantage

4. Tactical characteristics and style collisionQ group

Toyama Victory Tactics: 5-4-1 Defensive counterattack, all players return to defense to compress space

Core issues: serious disconnection on the offensive end, lack of effective connection between the front line and the midfield

Tactical adjustment: Recently tried to strengthen the breakthrough on the wing, but the effect was not good

Home dilemma: 3 consecutive home games failed to score, and the offensive confidence was seriously insufficient

Defensive weakness: high physical energy consumption led to a decrease in the defensive focus in the second half

Tokushima Uzumaki Tactics: 4-2-3-1 Formation, focusing on midfield interception + Efficient counterattack

Offensive features: sharp breakthroughs on the flank, combined with middle penetration and long-range shots

Tactical advantages: high away defense efficiency, conceded only 7 goals in the last 6 away games

Settings tactics: score accounts for 21-30%, and the central defender is the main threat point

away strategy: pay more attention to defensive stability, and the ball possession rate has dropped to 48%

Tactical collision: Toyama intensive defense vs Tokushima midfield control; Toyama breaks through on the flank vs Tokushima efficient counterattack

5. Core players and injuries affect Q group

Toyama Victory Core:

Ogawa Hangki (forward): the team's only offensive point, but 5 consecutive rounds of dumb

Yusuke Matsuo (Wingback): Breakthrough on the wing, 2.8 crosses per game

Ryoshi Nobuya (Midfield): Midfield commander, pass success rate 85%

Tokushima Uzumaki core:

Lucas (Forward): Player of the season, 12 goals, high away goal rate

Yamaguchi Hoshi (Midfield): Defensive barrier, 3.5 interceptions per game

Yukishi Watanabe (Forward): Counterattack core, fast speed, good at capturing opportunities

Injury:

Toyama: Yusuke Kobayashi (Main central defender, cruciate ligament injury), Tomohiro Iwada (Midfield core, ankle injury), Kato Okubo (Forward, muscle strain) Many other main players have been injured

Tokushima: Yu Takada (midfielder, hamstring injury), basic health of other core players

Impact assessment: Tokushima's injury is more serious, with 40% loss of offense and defense core; Tokushima's injury is mild, and the overall strength impact is limited

6. Gambling data and professional prediction Q group

Asian handicap: Tokushima's victory was 0.5 goals, moderate water level, the market is optimistic about Tokushima

European compensation data: Tokushima's victory was 4.20, draw 3.40, Tokushima's victory was 1.85

Professional consensus: Most analytical institutions predict that Tokushima will win 1-0 or 2-0, and the total number of goals is ≤2 The model prediction: Toyama's winning rate is 24.7%, Toyama's winning rate is 51.3%, and the draw probability is 24.0%

Conclusion

Comprehensive analysis shows that Toyama Uzumaki will defeat Toyama 2-0 away game. The main basis is as follows:

The situation and strength gap between the league: Tokushima ranks 4th to compete for the upgrade play-offs, Tokushima ranks 18th to fight for relegation, the overall strength and league performance of the away team are significantly better than the home team

Home dilemma and weak offensive: Tokushima failed to score in three consecutive home games, and the offensive end was seriously disconnected; Tokushima's away defense was stable, and he lost only 7 goals in his last 6 away games, the home team lost their home advantage, and the away team's away ability was stable

Historical confrontations and psychological advantages: Tokushima has won 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 10 times against Tokushima, and maintained a complete victory against Tokushima in the last 6 home games. The away team formed obvious psychological suppression on the home team

Injury impact and lineup integrity: Tokushima has suffered injuries and lost 40% The core offense and defense; Tokushima core players are basically healthy, the home team's lineup is not complete, and the away team's strength is limited

Gambling data are consistent with professional predictions: all bookmakers and professional analyses are optimistic about Tokushima's victory, the mainstream prediction is 1-0 or 2-0, and the market expects that the away team's chance of winning exceeding 50%

The game will show a pattern of Tokushima Uzumaki leading and Toyama winning defensive counterattack. Tokushima is expected to take advantage of the instability and physical fitness problems of the Toyama defense line, with Lucas and Yukishi Watanabe each scoring a goal to win. Although Toyama has home advantage and relegation pressure, serious offensive weakness and injury troubles will become limiting factors. In the end, Tokushima Uzumaki won 2-0 away.

Score prediction: Toyama Victory 0-2 Tokushima Uzumaki Q group