On June 15th, Nagasaki Navigation VS Omiya Squirrels, who will take the lead in the way to the Super League?

005 Nagasaki Navigation VS Omiya Squirrels RB

Team situation

Nagasaki Navigation's recent status trend is quite dramatic. In the last 6 main games, they have won 4 games, with full firepower on the offensive end, showing a strong competitive state. However, home performance has become the team's "Achilles' heel". In the last 5 home games, they have only achieved 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with a winning rate of less than 20%. The performance on the defensive end is even more worrying. After 18 rounds of the league, the team has conceded 29 goals and conceded more than 1.5 goals per game. Such a defensive performance will undoubtedly leave many opportunities for the opponent to take advantage of. Fortunately, the team's forward strength is good, and at critical moments, they can always score with their outstanding personal ability or team cooperation to capture the team.

Omiya Squirrels occupy a favorable position in the league with their stable defense and excellent away game capabilities. In the last 5 away games, the team has achieved 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, and even beat Chiba Ichihara, who is at the top of the league, showing strong competitiveness. However, the team has recently encountered the dilemma of three rounds of unwinding, and morale will inevitably be affected. Facing Nagasaki's voyage, Omiya Squirrels urgently needed a victory to break the deadlock and regain their momentum. At the tactical level, the battle between Nagasaki Navigation and Omiya Squirrels can be regarded as a wonderful game of "spear and shield". Nagasaki Navigation focuses on a tactical system that combines sides and middle, and frequent forwards of full-backs are an important means of the team's offense. Open the field width through fullbacks to create more offensive space for the midfield and forwards. However, this radical offensive tactic also has obvious disadvantages. When the full-back penetrates forward, there will be a large gap behind the defense line. Once the opponent strikes back, the defense line will face tremendous pressure.

Omiya Squirrels have successfully adjusted from a four-back system to a three-center-back system this season, and this tactical transformation is a model. After changing the lineup, the team's defense hardness has been significantly enhanced, especially in limiting the opponent's crosses on the wing. At the same time, the three-center-back system has also activated the offensive potential of wingback players, making the team more balanced on both offense and defense. However, tactical adjustments also bring about the problem of reducing the coverage of midfield defense. If the dispatch of Nagasaki's Navigation Mitsuichi Sato is unable to effectively limit the scheduling of Nagasaki's midfielder, Omiya Squirrels' defense may face severe tests. In addition, the problem of Omiya Squirrels' lack of ability to seize opportunities in the forward line will also directly affect the efficiency and quality of the team's counterattack.

Result prediction

Combining recent status, historical confrontation data and tactical analysis, the Oguchi Squirrels are at least unbeaten in this game. Although Nagasaki Navigation has home advantage and strong scoring ability on the front line, the loopholes on the defensive end and the unstable home performance have cast a shadow on the team's victory. Although Omiya Squirrels have had some ups and downs in recent years, the overall strength of the team cannot be underestimated, especially their stable defense and excellent away game capabilities, will become the key to their victory.

Direction: Let negative