Analysis of qualifying for Club World Cup: Messi may have a "tactic ball", there are two possibilities for encountering Paris

The third round of the group stage of the Club World Cup will be staged, and it is also the last round of the group stage. All teams that advance to the knockout stage will be produced. Messi and Paris Saint-Germain, which have attracted much attention, have two possibilities for meeting in the round of 16, and are two major champions in South America, striving to become the first in the group.

At present, after the second round of group stage, Bayern Munich in Group C, Flamenco in Group D, and Juventus and Manchester City in Group G, four teams have obtained the right to qualify in the group in advance. Because the Club World Cup was in the same score, the results of the match were prioritized, Flamengo also locked in the first place in the group. Oakland City in Oceania, Los Angeles FC and Pachuca in Central and North America, Urawa Red Diamonds, Ain and Ulsan HD in Asia, and Casablanca in Africa, 7 teams have been eliminated early.

Soon, the last four group matches of Group A and Group B will be staged on the same day. According to the match chart of the knockout match, the top two teams in the two groups will fight against each other, and two places in the quarterfinals will be generated. Who can stand out? In Group A, Palmeiras and host Miami International scored 4 points. The two teams met in the last round, while Porto and three-time African champion Cairo International both had only 1 point. The two teams also met in the last round. Obviously, Palmeiras and Miami International can advance together as long as they draw in the last round, and the losing side has a chance to get out, so there is a potential for a "tacity ball" between the two teams.

In the eyes of the outside world, Miami International is a star team. If it were not the host, there would be no chance to participate. It is worth mentioning that the last round of the group stage happened to be Messi's 38th birthday. The best gift should be to get the right to qualify in the group. Judging from the current situation, the hope of promotion has become quite high, and even if you lose in the final round, you will have a great chance of qualifying.

The two teams ranked low are not easy to qualify. Porto's promotion was to defeat Cairo Nationals, while Palmeiras lost to Miami International, and had a combined goal difference of at least three goals in the two games. Cairo Nationals' promotion conditions are similar, beating Porto, and Miami International lost to Palmeiras. Similarly, the two goals in total were at least three goals.

Group B, Botafogo scored 6 points in two consecutive victories, Paris Saint-Germain and Atletico Madrid scored 3 points, and Seattle Bayer scored 0 points. Like Group A, no team in this group advanced early, and no team was eliminated early. Botafogo's boss Tector is actually also the Ligue 1 powerhouse Lyon and the holder of Crystal Palace, who just won the FA Cup championship in England. Therefore, Crystal Palace is facing the embarrassment of not being able to participate in the UEFA Cup due to Lyon. In the last round, Paris faces Seattle and Atletico Madrid faces Bottafogo. As long as Paris wins, it will definitely be able to qualify. As long as Bottafogo loses three goals in net, he can advance. Atletico Madrid suffered a four-goal defeat in the first round, and Paris lost in the second round, resulting in a very slim chance of qualifying, with only three possibilities left. One is that he won, Paris cannot win, the second is that he drew, Paris lost, and the third is that he defeated Bottafogo more than three goals in the last round.

Interestingly, there are two situations in which three teams scored in the same group. If Paris and Atletico Madrid win, Paris, Atletico Madrid and Bottafogo will have 6 points together. According to the match results between the three teams, Paris' goal difference is positive and can definitely qualify. The remaining two teams need to calculate the goal difference, and Atletico Madrid must win three goals before qualifying.

Another possibility of occurrence is not high, that is, Paris and Atletico Madrid both lose. In this way, Paris, Atletico Madrid and Seattle have 3 points together. According to the match results between the three teams, Atletico Madrid's net victory is a negative number and will definitely be eliminated. Paris's unnet loss is more than two goals, so it is capable of qualifying against Seattle.

Of course, these are mathematical analysis. According to actual circumstances, Palmeiras and Miami International have a high chance of advancing together, and Paris Saint-Germain and Bottafogo are also likely to qualify together. Messi and his old club Paris meet in the round of 16, and there are only two possibilities.

In the top 16, Group A is the first to face Group B, and Group A is the second to face Group B. Therefore, Miami is the first, Paris is the second, or Miami is the second, Paris is the first, Messi and Paris can meet in the round of 16. Otherwise, if you want to meet, you can only wait until the final.

believe that Palmeiras and Botafogo can strive to be the first in the group, enter the knockout stage as they wish, and even have the chance to enter the quarterfinals. The two South American champions need to prove that the South American team is not "runners". When European teams are not very strong in their competition, they can even attack the champion.