Much more reliable! OPTA predicts Premier League champions: Reds first, Manchester City third, Gunners still second

This weekend, the Community Shield Cup between Liverpool and Crystal Palace will kick off, which marks that after spending this crazy summer transfer window, the new Premier League season will kick off.

Who wins the championship with the community shield? I'm afraid few fans are concerned, but who can win the Premier League in the new season is the focus of attention of the media and fans.

NBC's sports media SportsCasting made a prediction of the new season's Premier League ranking through its supercomputer: Manchester City first, Arsenal second, Liverpool third, and Chelsea fourth.

The result is quite surprising. Because in this crazy summer transfer window, defending champion Liverpool and new Club World Cup champion Chelsea's recruitment efforts are astonishing - the current recruitment spending has exceeded 300 million pounds, and there are still major moves in the future.

Liverpool and Chelsea are both strengthening the mature and successful lineup, and are obviously the strongest contenders for the Premier League championship in the new season. But in SportsCasting's list, one third and the other fourth are really hard to convince. Moreover, SportsCasting is not a professional football media, and the algorithms and models used by its supercomputers are definitely flawed.

Of course, prediction is a mysterious and mysterious knowledge, and it is common to have a fall. So, there is no need to be too serious, and look at how professional football data institutions predict. OPTA, the data agency that has become famous in recent years, also gave its own predictions: Liverpool is the first, Arsenal is the second, Manchester City is the third, and Chelsea is the fourth.

Compared with SportsCasting's "not very professional" prediction, OPTA's position is that Liverpool and Manchester City have exchanged positions, Arsenal is still second, Chelsea is still fourth, and the position in the top four has not changed at all. It seems that as long as Arsenal is not ranked first, it is in line with the perception of most fans.

In comparison, OPTA's supercomputer looks a little more reliable.

Liverpool's probability of winning the championship is 28.5%, close to 30%. This summer window, Liverpool changed his previous calculations and made crazy reinforcements. Wilz, Ekitic, Flynnon and Kelkez were all big. If Isaac is successfully defeated, Slot's lineup will make Klopp cry.

Arsenal's probability of winning is 24.4%, more than 20%. After finally winning the popular center Tzekelish, Arteta has already created the strongest lineup in theory. If it cannot get rid of the hat of the millennium second, Arteta can only leave.

Manchester City's probability of winning is 18.8%, less than 20%. This is the lowest probability that Manchester City has won since OPTA began to predict the Premier League championship. Guardiola's reconstruction is not optimistic by the industry, especially after De Bruyne left, the problem of weak midfielder's ability to play will be the key to limit Manchester City's height in the new season.

The competition in the Premier League is fierce, and predictions are just one thing. So, dear brothers, who do you think will win the championship? Chelsea, or Manchester United?