Swedish Super Hegen vs Gothenburg: City Derby, a battle between tactics and will

On the green field, the same-city derby has never been just a competition of technology and tactics, but also a competition for honor, history and urban hegemony.

At 01:10 am on September 16, the Swedish Premier League will usher in a highly anticipated city derby: Hegen plays Gothenburg at home Bravida Arena. This is not only a contest between the two teams, but also a showdown between two football philosophy and city glory. As a new Swedish football champion, Hegen won the first championship of the Swiss Super League in 2022; while Gothenburg is a traditional giant, winning the top domestic league championship 18 times and dominating the UEFA Cup twice.

01 Team's recent situation: The city opponent

He Gen, who has a very different state, performed well in the season. After 22 rounds of the game, he scored 26 points with a record of 7 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses, ranking 10th in the league. The team scored 32 goals and conceded 38 goals, which was OK on the offensive end, but the defensive loopholes were obvious, with averaging 1.7 goals per game.

Recently, Hegen's performance is ups and downs. They have only won two of their last six games, but they beat Nan Qiao 8-0 in a cup match in mid-September, which may have improved the morale of the team.

Gothenburg performed better this season. After 22 rounds, he ranked 6th in the league with 12 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses, with 38 points, and is even expected to compete for European competition qualification. The team scored 31 goals and conceded 27 goals, and the offense and defense balance was even better.

Gothenburg has been in good shape recently, winning 5 games in the past 6 games, showing strong attack power and stable defense. In the last round of the league, they defeated IFK Wanamer 1-0 at home.

02 Historical Confrontation: Hegen has a psychological advantage

In the past confrontations between the two teams, Hegen has a certain advantage in recent years. In the last 10 encounters, Hegen has achieved a record of 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses.

From a longer historical record, the two teams have played 38 times, Hegen has won 10 victories, while Gothenburg has won 16 times and 12 draws. In these historical matches, the average score of 3.24 goals per game is as high as 3.24, indicating that this derby is often not short of goals.

In a recent encounter (April 2024), Gothenburg lost 0-1 to Hegen at home. This adds more highlight to this derby - Gothenburg seeks revenge, while Hegen hopes to continue his advantage.

03 Tactical Analysis: Football Philosophy with Different Styles

Hergen's tactical style tends to attack football, and is good at controlling the ball and organizing offense. This season, their average ball possession rate reached 52% and their pass success rate reached 83%. The team's offensive core is Samuel Holm (4 goals) and Amor Leoni (3 goals).

Hergen's main weakness is defense, especially the number of goals conceded at home accounts for 65% of the total number of goals conceded. The team performed reliably in the lead, with the league winning final this season accounting for 100% of the total wins.

Gothenburg pays more attention to defensive counterattacks, and his tactical style is relatively pragmatic. Team forward Max Fonel has scored 8 goals this season, ranking second in the league scorer list, and is the main threat to the front line.

Gothenburg's defense is organized in an orderly manner, with averaging less than 1 goal per game in the last 10 main games, including 6 of which were clean sheets of opponents. The team's wingers and forwards' speed advantages have caused a lot of trouble for the opponent.

04 Injuries and lineup: The impact of the absence of key players

Hurgen, midfielder core Simon Gustafson will miss this game due to cumulative yellow cards. The 30-year-old captain is one of the most important players on the team, and his absence will be a major loss for Hegan.

In addition, left-back Adam Lundquist was injured in the last game and is likely to be unable to play in this game. These absences will have an impact on Hegen's midfield organization and left-wing defense.

Gothenburg's injury was relatively mild, with only Albnore Mukoli absent from a cruciate ligament injury. Almost all the team can play in this important derby.

Gothenburg's Thomas Santos has been caught in transfer rumors recently, but coach Stefan Billborn has expressed confidence that the 26-year-old will stay with the team. Whether this situation will affect the performance of the player remains to be seen.

05 Match prediction: The variables of derby battles and the possible results of derby battles often exceed paper strength. Although Gothenburg performed better this season, Hegen has a home advantage and a psychological advantage in historical clashes.

Hergen needs to use his home court advantage and control to lead the game and score as soon as possible. If they can score first, they will have a good chance of winning the game with a 100% winning rate under the lead this season.

Gothenburg is likely to adopt a stable counterattack strategy and use the forward speed to threaten Hegen's unstable defense line. Setting pieces may be a key weapon in Gothenburg.

Considering Hegen's home defense issues (65% of the total conceded goals this season) and Gothenburg's solid defense, it is predicted that Gothenburg may win or draw in this game.

score prediction: 1-1 or 1-2. The intensity and uncertainty of the derby battle are far beyond that of the ordinary leagues.

When the two teams met at Bravida Arena, historical data was just a background board. Derby battles have never been just a competition of skills and tactics, but also a competition of willpower and desire to win.

Hergen needs to overcome the impact of key players being absent and use his home court to control the game; Gothenburg needs to continue his recent outstanding form and break the disadvantages of historical confrontations.

Ultimately, the ball rolling trajectory will determine the focus of the football city's talk in the coming weeks. Regardless of the outcome, this showdown will be a classic Swedish football feast