If the Chinese men s football team does not give a penalty, they draw Indonesia 0-0, will they have a chance to be ranked 4 in the group and will not be eliminated

The 2026 US-Canada-Mexico World Cup Qualifiers Asia's Top 18 has come to an end.

The six teams that advanced to the World Cup early were Iran and Uzbekistan in Group A, South Korea and Jordan in Group B, Japan and Australia in Group C. The six teams that continue to compete in the next stage are the UAE and Qatar in Group A, Iraq and Oman in Group B, and Saudi Arabia and Indonesia in Group C.

, while the Chinese men's football team and five other teams were eliminated and completely missed the 2026 World Cup.

In fact, the hope of the Chinese men's football team has been retained until the end of the 9th round, which is the second to the end. In that round, the Chinese men's football team lost 0-1 to Indonesia, thus losing the hope of the top 4 in the group and was eliminated early. The final round of defeating Bahrain 1-0 was just to get rid of the group's bottom.

It can be said that the poor strength of the Chinese men's football team was the main reason for the elimination, and the last straw that broke the camel was losing to Indonesia away. So, if the Chinese men's football team tied Indonesia 0-0 at that time, would there be a chance to win the fourth place in the group and retain the last glimmer of hope?

This assumption is not difficult to achieve. The Chinese men's football team vs. Indonesia's game is ugly. The Chinese men's football team 0-1 was because their players foolishly gave a non-essential penalty. If they don't give that penalty, although the Chinese men's football team cannot score, Indonesia cannot score either. The possibility of a 0-0 hand-shaking hand and making peace between the two sides is extremely high.

The reality is that Indonesia has 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 12 points; the Chinese men's football team has 3 wins, 7 losses, with 9 points. If the Chinese men's football team is just changing 0-1 to 0-0 Indonesia, it will become, Indonesia has 2 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses and 10 points, and the Chinese men's football team has 3 wins, 1 draw, 6 losses and 10 points, and the two sides have the same points!

Then you have to have to compare goals. Indonesia scored 8 goals and conceded 20 goals, Chinese men's football team scored 7 goals and conceded 20 goals, Indonesia's goal difference of 12 more than Chinese men's football team, the fourth place in the group is still Indonesia, and the fifth place in the Chinese men's football team still needs to be eliminated early.

In other words, even if the Chinese men's football team did not give a penalty kick in the 9th round and tied Indonesia 0-0, the Chinese men's football team is still not enough to get fourth in the group, and some changes must be made.

However, if the 9th round is the Chinese men's football team 0-0 Indonesia, then Indonesia may have lost less than 6 goals against Japan in the last round, and they will shrink and defend more. The Chinese men's football team is facing a situation where there is hope for more goals, and there is a high probability that it will be another defeat.

Unless, if there is a miracle in the top 36, the Chinese men's football team will still be 1-0 Bahrain. Japan has clearly locked in the first place in the group and just wins, and defeated Indonesia 8-0 with a big score!

In this case, both the Chinese men's football team and Indonesia have 10 points, with a goal difference between the Chinese men's football team and 14 Indonesians. Then the Chinese men's football team will be carried into the next stage, and Chinese fans have to travel to Japan to pay for the Japanese players' stores.

In short, the penalty kick given by the Chinese men's football team VS Indonesia directly sent the Chinese men's football team out, leaving Japan with no chance to help the Chinese men's football team. If Japan originally wanted 8-0, the Chinese men's football team would not be successful, so it would be a symbolic 6-0.